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2016-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 61.8% 38.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% - โœ“
Margin 55.0% 45.0% -1.1 โœ“ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 62.5% 37.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 62.6% 37.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.0% 48.0% - โœ“

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Peyton Aldridge * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 2 2 12 25 -
Jack Gibbs * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 2 0 4 28 36 -
J. Gudmundsson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 1 3 5 11 -
Will Magarity * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 2 3 10 19 -
Rusty Reigel * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 9 13 -
Jordan Watkins 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 4 8 -
Nathan Ekwu 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 0 2 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shannon Evans * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 7 3 0 1 13 23 -
Obinna Oleka * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 11 20 -
Tra Holder * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 2 18 27 -
Torian Graham * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
Sam Cunliffe * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 11 15 -
Ramon Vila 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Kodi Justice 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 2 2 10 -
Jethro Tshisumpa 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter