Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | +15.8 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +2 (78-76). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Howard * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 29 | - |
| Derreck Brooks * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Mathieu Kamba * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Ethan Lee * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tanner Schmit * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Darraja Parnell | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Thatch Unruh | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Albert Christensson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Lowery | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Otas Iyekekpolor | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Weidenaar | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Holyfield * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 30 | - |
| Leon Gilmore * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Dallas Cameron * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Kevon Harris * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Ivan Canete * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Ty Charles | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Traylor | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Aaron Augustin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Josh Huntley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jovan Grujic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter