Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Lady Hornets | Southern Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Jaguars +6 (59-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Lady Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wright * | 40 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| K. Stephens * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Clark * | 20 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| T. Calhoun * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Jones * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Ewert | 37 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Z. Doe | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Smith | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -5 | - |
| D. Toney | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Z. Clark | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| V. Harvey | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Purnell | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. O'Bear * | 40 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Crowder * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| B. Green * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Parsons * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| S. Duncan | 22 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Cowart | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Charles | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Towner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Blissett | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter