Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -6 (79-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles | 39 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| M. Moore | 34 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 11-12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 28 | - |
| S. Augustus | 33 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| L. Whalen | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Perkins | 19 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| R. Brunson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Cruz | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Beard | 37 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 35 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Candace Parker | 34 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 24 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| E. Carson | 23 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter