Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -6 (79-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 39 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 34 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 11-12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 19 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Anna Cruz | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Beard * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 35 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 34 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 24 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter