Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -2 (76-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver | 33 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Candace Parker | 32 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 30 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 29 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| E. Carson | 29 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| A. Beard | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles | 39 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| M. Moore | 34 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| L. Whalen | 31 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| R. Brunson | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| S. Augustus | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Perkins | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Cruz | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. McCarville | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter