Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.8% | 21.2% | -7.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San José State Spartans +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kell * | 36 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Allen * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Pope * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Hemsley * | 27 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| M. Shrigley * | 18 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Z. Cheatham | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| M. Gill-Caesar | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Brown * | 39 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Welage * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jaycee Hillsman * | 30 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Jalen James * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Isaac Thornton | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Mitchell | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Nichols | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cody Schwartz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter