Model Predictions
| Model | San José State Spartans | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Welage * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jalen James * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Cody Schwartz * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gary Williams * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Isaac Thornton | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E.J. Boyce | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Nichols | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jaycee Hillsman | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Terrell Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Mitchell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ashtin Chastain | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Singer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hemsley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 25 | - |
| T. Kell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| M. Montana * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 21 | - |
| D. Allen * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Z. Cheatham * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 | - |
| M. Gill-Caesar | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Williams | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
* = starter