Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +21 (69-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Izundu | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Kell * | 35 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| J. Hemsley * | 32 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Z. Cheatham * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Allen * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Gill-Caesar | 20 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Narain | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Williams | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Williams-Goss * | 35 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Silas Melson * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Mathews * | 26 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Johnathan Williams * | 19 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Przemek Karnowski * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Josh Perkins | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Zach Collins | 21 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Killian Tillie | 20 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Bryan Alberts | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rui Hachimura | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Edwards | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dustin Triano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rem Bakamus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter