Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +9 (64-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Lewis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Jovan Crnic * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Drake Green * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Payten Ricks * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hayden Howell * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Tripp | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jalone Friday | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Diamante Langston | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Hayden Farquhar | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Trey Lenox | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Brown * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 26 | - |
| Jordan Hunter * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Obij Aget * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Dane Kuiper * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tim Williams * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Xavier Adams | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Harris | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Connor MacDougall | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Joe Furstinger | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Mathis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter