Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -8 (55-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshon Taylor * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Paul Watson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Sam Bittner * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jahmel Taylor | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Cullen Russo | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Terrell Carter | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Johnny McWilliams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Allen * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| T. Kell * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Hemsley * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Pope * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Z. Cheatham * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Montana | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| D. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Narain | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter