Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.2% | 29.8% | -4.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -3 (77-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Brown * | 38 | 8-17 | 5-9 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Obij Aget * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Harris * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Joe Furstinger * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Sam Logwood | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Hunter | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Connor MacDougall | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jovan Mooring * | 38 | 8-20 | 3-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Cheickna Dembele * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Zion Morgan * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tyrell Green | 29 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Jalen Poyser | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Kris Clyburn | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter