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2017-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
Elo 39.5% 60.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% -
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% -
Log Adjusted 53.0% 47.0% -

Actual: Xavier Musketeers -9 (79-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Chrabascz * 37 4-6 1-2 2-2 2 6 0 0 2 11 11 -
K. Baldwin * 36 8-15 1-6 0-1 5 3 5 1 0 17 16 -
K. Savage * 28 4-9 1-3 0-0 2 2 4 0 3 9 5 -
T. Wideman * 26 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 8 9 -
A. Woodson * 18 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 8 5 -
K. Martin 29 9-15 3-6 4-5 7 0 0 1 1 25 17 -
T. Lewis 14 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
N. Fowler 10 3-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
S. McDermott 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bluiett * 39 7-16 3-8 4-4 5 3 0 0 1 21 12 -
Q. Goodin * 34 4-10 0-2 3-4 6 7 0 0 6 11 8 -
J.P. Macura * 31 5-8 2-4 5-7 3 3 2 0 2 17 15 -
K. Gates * 26 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
R. Gaston * 15 0-1 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 0 3 7 -
M. Bernard 30 5-9 2-5 1-1 4 0 3 1 1 13 11 -
S. O'Mara 17 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 7 8 -
T. Jones 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter