Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | -0.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +5 (83-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Macura | 35 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 2 | - |
| M. Bernard | 34 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| E. Sumner | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 12-13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| T. Bluiett | 28 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| R. Gaston | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. Gates | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. O'Mara | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Davis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Q. Goodin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Chrabascz | 36 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Baldwin | 30 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| A. Woodson | 30 | 2-10 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| T. Wideman | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| K. Savage | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Martin | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| T. Lewis | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Fowler | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. McDermott | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Baddley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter