Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +30.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +24 (82-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Howard * | 37 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Derreck Brooks * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Mathieu Kamba * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Thatch Unruh * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tanner Schmit * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Lowery | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Darraja Parnell | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Weidenaar | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Albert Christensson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ethan Lee | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Otas Iyekekpolor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Grant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelan Martin * | 29 | 11-22 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Andrew Chrabascz * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Avery Woodson * | 25 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Lewis * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Wideman * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Kethan Savage | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kamar Baldwin | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Sean McDermott | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Nate Fowler | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Henry Baddley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joey Brunk | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Steven Bennett | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trey Pettus | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter