Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Towson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Towson Tigers +19 (85-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dainan Swoope * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Tyler Seibring * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Steve Santa Ana * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Brian Dawkins * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Dmitri Thompson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Luke Eddy | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jack Anton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Christian Hairston | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Collin Luther | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Karolis Kundrotas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Morsell * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 38 | - |
| Deshaun Morman * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Alex Thomas * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brian Starr * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Eddie Keith | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Dennis Tunstall | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Zane Martin | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jordan McNeil | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter