Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | +13.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +16 (79-63). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Seibring * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Dainan Swoope * | 35 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Steve Santa Ana * | 33 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dmitri Thompson * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Brian Dawkins * | 18 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Luke Eddy | 26 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Christian Hairston | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Karolis Kundrotas | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jack Anton | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Collin Luther | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Ingram * | 35 | 6-14 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Chris Flemmings * | 35 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| C.J. Bryce * | 34 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Devontae Cacok * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | - |
| Ambrose Mosley * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jordon Talley | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Bryan | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| JaQuel Richmond | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chuck Ogbodo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jaylen Fornes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter