Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | +7.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rice Owls +12 (80-68). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni De Nicolao * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Byron Frohnen * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Jeff Beverly * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Lucas O'Brien * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Gino Littles * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Austin Karrer | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Mitar Stanojevic | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Nick Allen | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| George Willborn | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Evans * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Marcus Jackson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Egor Koulechov * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Marquez Letcher-Ellis * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Connor Cashaw * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Chad Lott | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Austin Meyer | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Bishop Mency | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Tim Harrison | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Ako Adams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter