Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | Harvard Crimson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.9% | 81.1% | +8.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Harvard Crimson +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Smith * | 40 | 6-19 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Nate Hickman * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Luke Petrasek * | 28 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Coby * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Rodney Hunter * | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Quinton Adlesh | 31 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C.J. Davis | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Patrick Tape | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Conor Voss | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Peter Barba | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Chambers * | 38 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Bassey * | 36 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Aiken * | 32 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Seth Towns * | 30 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| C. Lewis * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Z. Edosomwan | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| W. Perez | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| R. Baker | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Miller | 7 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| H. Welsh | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. McCarthy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Juzang | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter