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2017-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 22.3% 77.7% -
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% -
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% -
Log Adjusted 27.3% 72.7% -

Actual: Columbia Lions +12 (66-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Boudreaux * 31 5-10 2-4 1-2 6 0 0 1 5 13 5 -
M. Wright * 27 2-5 0-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
G. Smith * 26 1-9 0-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 2 -6 -
M. Fleming * 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 3 7 -
W. Dickinson * 14 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 5 2 0 -
B. Barry 25 2-5 2-3 3-4 4 2 0 1 1 9 10 -
I. Ngwudo 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 2 1 -
W. Emery 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
T. Johnson 11 2-5 1-3 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
I. Sistare 9 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Foye 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Stakeliunas 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Coby * 26 5-11 0-1 2-2 6 0 0 1 1 12 7 -
M. Smith * 25 1-8 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 3 5 -3 -
L. Petrasek * 21 7-14 2-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 18 9 -
R. Hunter * 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
N. Hickman * 18 1-6 1-2 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 3 1 -
Q. Adlesh 22 2-6 2-3 0-0 3 2 4 0 0 6 9 -
J. Killingsworth 21 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
L. Meisner 16 1-4 0-2 3-4 9 2 0 1 0 5 13 -
C. Davis 15 2-6 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
C. Voss 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 2 7 -
P. Tape 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter