Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +1 (57-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Carey * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Corey Henson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Connor Ferrell * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Elijah Davis * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| AJ Sumbry * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| JoJo Cooper | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Blake Francis | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Greg Senat | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Shack Scott | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Wray * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Junior Robinson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Elijah Mitrou-Long * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Miles Wilson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Mawdo Sallah * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Greg Alexander | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Gomes | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Will Miller | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Khalid Nwandu | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter