Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | +0.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: American University Eagles -5 (65-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean O'Brien * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Will Rayman * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Swopshire * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Francisco Amiel * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Malcolm Regisford * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Tom Rivard | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Dana Batt | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nathan Harries | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sa'eed Nelson * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Charlie Jones * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Mark Gasperini * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Delante Jones * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Lonnie Rivera * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Alex Paquin | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| James Washington | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Andrija Matic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Rhea | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter