Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Colgate Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colgate Raiders -3 (64-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Tolksdorf | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sa'eed Nelson * | 45 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Delante Jones * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-10 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Mark Gasperini * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| James Washington * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charlie Jones | 41 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20 | - |
| Alex Paquin | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Rhea | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Lonnie Rivera | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Matt Cimino | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayman * | 40 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Sean O'Brien * | 35 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Swopshire * | 34 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Malcolm Regisford * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nathan Harries * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Francisco Amiel | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tom Rivard | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dana Batt | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Robertson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andrew Bargmann | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter