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2016-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Bucknell Bison Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.8% 77.2% - โœ“
Margin 9.5% 90.5% +12.4 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.0% 66.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.4% 92.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“

Actual: Bucknell Bison +16 (81-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elijah Mitrou-Long * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 0 5 13 18 -
Miles Wilson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 4 14 16 -
Junior Robinson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 20 20 -
Greg Alexander * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 8 10 -
Mawdo Sallah * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Chris Wray 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 0 0 1 10 -
Khalid Nwandu 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 2 6 11 -
Will Miller 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 7 -
Ryan Gomes 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Charles Glover 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Thomas * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 7 3 4 3 16 35 -
Stephen Brown * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 11 17 -
Kimbal MacKenzie * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 3 16 22 -
Nana Foulland * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 5 3 14 28 -
Nate Jones * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 6 11 -
Matt O'Reilly 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
Avi Toomer 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Bruce Moore 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Nate Sestina 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 9 -
Ben Robertson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D.J. MacLeay 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter