Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Andino * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Dontae Caldwell * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Bakari Copeland * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Logan McIntosh * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Isaac Taylor * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Derrico Peck | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Michael Chambers | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Thomas Rivera | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Jones | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Deven Dorsett | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sa'eed Nelson * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Mark Gasperini * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Delante Jones * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 7 | - |
| James Washington * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charlie Jones | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Lonnie Rivera | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Alex Paquin | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matt Cimino | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter