Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -14 (71-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Joseph * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Donovan Fields * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Ridge Shipley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jakub Niziol | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Josh Mishler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Smith * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Tavrion Dawson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Aaron Parks * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Mahamadou Kaba-Camara * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Micheal Warren | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Reggie Theus | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Dylan Johns | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jerron Wilbut | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Blair Orr | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter