Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 8.9% | 91.1% | +12.8 | ✗ (25.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters -13 (66-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridge Shipley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Victor Joseph * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Aleks Abrams * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Donovan Fields | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Jakub Niziol | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Martin * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Jonathan Galloway * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 | - |
| Brandon Smith * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Ioannis Dimakopoulos * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Max Hazzard * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Evan Leonard | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Eyassu Worku | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tommy Rutherford | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| John Edgar | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brad Greene | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Spencer Rivers | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter