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2017-01-25

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Stony Brook Seawolves Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“
Margin 43.3% 56.7% +1.5 โœ“ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“

Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jairus Lyles * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 20 27 -
K.J. Maura * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 4 11 -
Joe Sherburne * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 1 2 6 16 -
Will Darley * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 20 24 -
Nolan Gerrity * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 2 8 -
Rodney Elliott 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 13 13 -
Jourdan Grant 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 8 14 -
Arkel Lamar 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
Sam Schwietz 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Malcolm Brent 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ben Grace 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrell Sturdivant * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 16 23 -
Lucas Woodhouse * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 23 27 -
Roland Nyama * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 3 5 -
Kameron Mitchell * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 7 -
Junior Saintel * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
Akwasi Yeboah 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 3 0 4 16 26 -
UC Iroegbu 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 12 18 -
Bryan Sekunda 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
Jakub Petras 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 0 5 -

* = starter