Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Hartford Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.1% | 15.9% | -9.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hartford Hawks -16 (68-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Maura * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Jairus Lyles * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 31 | - |
| Will Darley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 35 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Rodney Elliott | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Arkel Lamar | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Jourdan Grant | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Malcolm Brent | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sam Schwietz | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Daquon Ervin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Max Curran | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ishmail Jabbie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ben Grace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Dunne * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Ross * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 25 | - |
| J.R. Lynch * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| John Carroll * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Hassan Attia * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jack Hobbs | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Ramirez | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| George Blagojevic | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| TreVaughn Wilkerson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Max Twyman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jake Fay | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mark Plousis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter