Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +15 (77-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Morse * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Francisco Santiago * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Matt Donlan * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Rahim Williams * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jorden Kaufman * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Braun Hartfield | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Devin Haygood | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Brett Frantz | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Latin Davis | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Stefan Rosic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jeremiah Ferguson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sa'eed Nelson * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 39 | - |
| James Washington * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Delante Jones * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Mark Gasperini * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Charlie Jones | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - |
| Lonnie Rivera | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Matt Cimino | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter