Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Jacksonville Dolphins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✓ (22.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins +25 (79-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Morse * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Francisco Santiago * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Matt Donlan * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Jorden Kaufman * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Latin Davis * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Rahim Williams | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Devin Haygood | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Brett Frantz | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Stefan Rosic | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Braun Hartfield | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jeremiah Ferguson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Helgeland * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 28 | - |
| D. Fernandez * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| D. Harris * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J.R. Holder * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | - |
| O. El Manasterly * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Austin | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | - |
| A. Misters | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Rubio | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Dawkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter