🐻⬇️🏀

Wright State Raiders 84
@
Youngstown State Penguins 81
2017-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Wright State Raiders Youngstown State Penguins Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% -7.1 ✓ (4.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 68.5% 31.5% - ✓
Margin 74.3% 25.7% -5.8 ✓ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 64.9% 35.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 81.5% 18.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 81.7% 18.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 61.4% 38.6% - ✓

Actual: Youngstown State Penguins -3 (81-84). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.

Wright State Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grant Benzinger * 36 5-7 2-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 12 13 -
Justin Mitchell * 34 6-7 0-0 1-3 9 1 0 0 5 13 11 -
Mark Alstork * 33 10-18 2-5 11-11 5 3 0 0 5 33 18 -
Steven Davis * 30 4-11 1-5 2-3 4 3 2 0 1 11 8 -
Mike La Tulip * 27 2-7 2-6 0-0 1 3 0 1 0 6 4 -
Mark Hughes 22 2-4 1-3 0-2 2 4 1 1 0 5 9 -
Parker Ernsthausen 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 4 4 -
Ryan Custer 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Youngstown State Penguins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Morse * 37 13-23 4-11 5-6 3 3 2 0 0 35 20 -
Braun Hartfield * 35 3-7 0-3 1-2 4 2 0 0 2 7 4 -
Francisco Santiago * 26 4-9 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 9 2 -
Matt Donlan * 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 2 4 3 -
Devin Haygood * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Brett Frantz 33 2-7 1-6 2-2 1 5 1 0 1 7 6 -
Jorden Kaufman 32 8-10 0-0 1-4 8 1 0 0 1 17 15 -
Latin Davis 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 2 5 -

* = starter