Model Predictions
| Model | Wright State Raiders | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +15 (70-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Benzinger * | 35 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Steven Davis * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -2 | - |
| Justin Mitchell * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Mark Alstork * | 31 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Mike La Tulip * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mark Hughes | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Parker Ernsthausen | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Custer | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Peters * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 27 | - |
| Tevonn Walker * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Shane Hammink * | 31 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Derrik Smits * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Micah Bradford * | 13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jaume Sorolla | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Max Joseph | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Lexus Williams | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| John Kiser | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter