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2016-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Northern Kentucky Norse Oakland Golden Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“
Margin 24.6% 75.4% +6.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“

Actual: Oakland Golden Grizzlies +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Kentucky Norse

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaVone Holland * 35 6-15 1-5 1-2 2 6 0 0 4 14 3 -
Cole Murray * 35 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
Drew McDonald * 29 6-12 0-1 1-3 10 0 0 1 2 13 10 -
Carson Williams * 27 6-9 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 14 7 -
Jeff Garrett * 24 1-8 1-3 3-4 8 1 1 0 1 6 7 -
Mason Faulkner 21 4-8 2-5 0-1 0 2 0 0 0 10 4 -
Jordan Garnett 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
Brennan Gillis 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Oakland Golden Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Martez Walker * 37 6-16 3-9 6-7 6 0 0 0 1 21 10 -
Jalen Hayes * 33 7-14 0-0 4-4 8 1 0 2 2 18 13 -
Sherron Dorsey-Walker * 32 3-14 2-8 2-2 6 5 0 0 0 10 7 -
Isaiah Brock * 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 6 3 -
Xavier Hill-Mais 28 6-10 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 3 1 14 12 -
Brailen Neely 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 5 -
Nick Daniels 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
Chris Palombizio 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Brad Brechting 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter