Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | Northern Kentucky Norse | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Kentucky Norse +14 (101-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Allen * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Josh McFolley * | 36 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Chris Jenkins * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Gerald Blackshear * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Cole Long * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Patrick Robinson | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jarod Williams | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| DeShawndre Black | 12 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Malik Eichler | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ed Carter | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Northern Kentucky Norse
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew McDonald * | 37 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 9-11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - |
| LaVone Holland * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Carson Williams * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Cole Murray * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Garnett * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Mason Faulkner | 29 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 11-14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Jeff Garrett | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Maxwell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brennan Gillis | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter