Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | +19.4 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.2 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +7 (81-74). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Jenkins * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Corey Allen * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Jaleel Hogan * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Josh McFolley * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Gerald Blackshear * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeShawndre Black | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Jarod Williams | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Malik Eichler | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Patrick Robinson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cole Long | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Peters * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 30 | - |
| Shane Hammink * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 30 | - |
| Lexus Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Tevonn Walker * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 37 | - |
| Derrik Smits * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jaume Sorolla | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Max Joseph | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Micah Bradford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nick Davidson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter