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2016-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Northern Kentucky Norse Detroit Mercy Titans Spread Result
Elo 79.6% 20.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 80.8% 19.2% - โœ“
Margin 80.7% 19.3% -7.9 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 70.7% 29.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.1% 14.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.8% 34.2% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans -11 (70-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Kentucky Norse

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Murray * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 0 21 27 -
LaVone Holland * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 21 27 -
Carson Williams * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 10 17 -
Drew McDonald * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 3 12 18 -
Jeff Garrett * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 2 1 8 -
Jordan Garnett 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 4 8 -
Mason Faulkner 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 9 16 -
Brennan Gillis 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 1 3 10 -
Blake Spellman 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Dantez Walton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaleel Hogan * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 8 4 22 34 -
Chris Jenkins * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 20 29 -
Corey Allen * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 5 12 -
Matthew Grant * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 8 14 -
Josh McFolley * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 3 15 18 -
Jarod Williams 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 0 4 -
Cole Long 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
DeShawndre Black 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Malik Eichler 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter