Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes -9 (72-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairus Lyles * | 36 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | - |
| K.J. Maura * | 33 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 32 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Will Darley * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Rodney Elliott | 25 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jourdan Grant | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Max Curran | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isiaha Mike * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tarin Smith * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Mike Lewis II * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Emile Blackman * | 25 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Darius Lewis * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Castro-Caneddy | 25 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Spencer Littleson | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Nakye Sanders | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Robinson | 9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Eric James | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter