Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | +12.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +13 (83-70). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaire Grayer * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Marquise Moore * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Jalen Jenkins * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 19 | - |
| O. Livingston II * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Justin Kier * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ian Boyd | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Karmari Newman | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Daniel Relvao | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Troy Temara | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Cooke * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Scoochie Smith * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Darrell Davis * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 25 | - |
| Kendall Pollard * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Davis | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Josh Cunningham | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| John Crosby | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
* = starter