Model Predictions
| Model | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Adams * | 40 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 15-17 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 30 | - |
| M. Mobley * | 40 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Gregg * | 35 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| I. Taqqee * | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Andoh | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| L. Griffin | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Ikpeze | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Coburn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Kaputo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Cooke * | 35 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Scoochie Smith * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 11-14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Kendall Pollard * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Darrell Davis * | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Davis | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Josh Cunningham | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| John Crosby | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter