Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Fordham Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | -10.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.2% | 10.8% | -11.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fordham Rams -9 (66-75). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoochie Smith * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Charles Cooke * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Kendall Pollard * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 32 | - |
| Darrell Davis * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Davis | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Sam Miller | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| John Crosby | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Chartouny * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 26 | - |
| Antwoine Anderson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Christian Sengfelder * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Javontae Hawkins * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Prokop Slanina * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Will Tavares | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Havsa | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chuba Ohams | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jesse Bunting | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter