Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Pollard * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Scoochie Smith * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Darrell Davis * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Charles Cooke * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Davis | 25 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| John Crosby | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Sam Miller | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samir Doughty * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| JeQuan Lewis * | 30 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Justin Tillman * | 25 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Mo Alie-Cox * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Doug Brooks * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan Williams | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Burgess | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Malik Crowfield | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Marquell Fraser | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter