Model Predictions
| Model | Rhode Island Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | -0.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +3 (67-64). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Rhode Island Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuran Iverson * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jared Terrell * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jarvis Garrett * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E.C. Matthews * | 31 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Hassan Martin * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Stanford Robinson | 24 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Dowtin | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Nicola Akele | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cyril Langevine | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoochie Smith * | 38 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Kendall Pollard * | 31 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Darrell Davis * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| John Crosby | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sam Miller | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter