Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.4% | 24.6% | -6.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -2 (76-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmel Taylor * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Cullen Russo * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Paul Watson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Terrell Carter | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Johnny McWilliams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Deshon Taylor | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Bittner | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nate Grimes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Timmer * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| De'Antae McMurray * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Nick McGlynn * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Graham Woodward * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Casey Schlatter * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Rivers | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Billy Wampler | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| T.J. Thomas | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Kory Kuenstling | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ore Arogundade | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter