Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.7% | 29.3% | -4.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -3 (73-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dequon Miller * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Alize Johnson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 43 | - |
| Obediah Church * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 23 | - |
| Jarred Dixon * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jarrid Rhodes * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Kreklow | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Kendrix | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Martin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Antae McMurray * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Reed Timmer * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Graham Woodward * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| T.J. Thomas * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Nick McGlynn * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Casey Schlatter | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Billy Wampler | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Ore Arogundade | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| C.J. Rivers | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jacob Enevold | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter