Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✗ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +13 (83-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Rousseau * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Dequon Miller * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Kreklow * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Chris Kendrix * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Alize Johnson * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jarred Dixon | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Jarrid Rhodes | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Austin Ruder | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tyler McCullough | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Martin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Robin Thompson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Graham * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Jacob Van * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Frank Toohey * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| C.J. Siples * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Zach Kocur * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Trevor Lyons | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Manning | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Lavelle Scottie | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Broekhuis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter