Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -6 (68-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean O'Brien * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Mike Rodriguez * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Thik Bol * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 36 | - |
| Sean Lloyd * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Armon Fletcher * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Leo Vincent | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jonathan Wiley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Cook | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rudy Stradnieks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Clemons * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Brenton Scott * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Matt Van Scyoc * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Laquarious Paige * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Emondre Rickman * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T.J. Bell | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Jordan Barnes | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Niels Bunschoten | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trey Knight | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter