Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes +7 (71-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Fields * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Ridge Shipley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Zach Gordon * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Victor Joseph | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jakub Niziol | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Martin * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Dewayne Russell * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 31 | - |
| Shaq Carr * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Oscar Frayer * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Keonta Vernon * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Fiifi Aidoo | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Kerwin Smith | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
* = starter