Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.5% | 98.5% | +29.4 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +19 (80-61). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trayvon Palmer * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Delundre Dixon * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Fred Sims Jr. * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Montana Byrd * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Deionte Simmons * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Clemmye Owens V | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Joshua Batson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Patrick Szpir | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Glen Burns | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Eaves | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Peters * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 29 | - |
| Shane Hammink * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 30 | - |
| Tevonn Walker * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Lexus Williams * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - |
| Derrik Smits * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Micah Bradford | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Max Joseph | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| John Kiser | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Nick Davidson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jason Karys | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chandler Levingston Simon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter