Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Utah Valley Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✗ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines -1 (79-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Moore * | 40 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Shane Rector * | 34 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 3-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Norbert Janicek * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Alexis Dargenton * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Julion Pearre | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Sam Merrill | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Quinn Taylor | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ngor Barnaba | 11 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Toolson * | 39 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Brandon Randolph * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Isaac Neilson * | 34 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Zach Nelson * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Poydras | 24 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Hayden Schenck | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jared Stutzman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joonas Tahvanainen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter